2012 … The Year of Living Dangerously!
The year 2012 looms over the eastern advertising horizon, just like any other year. Except, it’s not like any other year! This is the watershed year which determines whether the local industry continues on the high road of media leadership in Africa or succumbs to the rapacious self-interest of media-owners, each convinced that the other is getting a better deal out of AMPS. Or perhaps more disturbingly, each convinced that they can do the job more cheaply.
The situation is dire. With the initial rejection by PMSA & OHMSA of the central SAARF levy funding principle and the subsequent, and understandable, withdrawal of NAB, de facto MAMCA (the industry body charged with effectively distributing the collected levy to SAARF and ASA) does not exist and must be disbanded.
In practice what this means is that, from January 2012, SAARF and ASA will have to be directly funded by media owners. Or to be more specific, those media owners who are prepared to pay into SAARF and ASA. After all, as Forest Gump says … cheaply is as cheaply does! Or something like that anyway.
Media owners will decide what they want to pay and what they want out of AMPS. Of course, whoever pays the piper calls the tune, so inevitably there will be a continuing erosion of quality data and ultimately the collapses of AMPS as objective media measurement tools. No, that’s not a grammatical error! I’m talking AMPS as in RAMS, TAMS, PAMS (Print AMPS) and OHMS. That will herald the end of the media industry as we have come to know it in Mzansi and we will be no better off than the rest of Africa when it comes to data and objective insights.
The ASA presents a slightly different conundrum, which I believe requires an objective industry investigation into the scope of ASA activities and its corresponding financial requirements. Somebody has to pay for ASA and media owners say that offensive or noncompliant advertising content is not their problem. After all, argue media-owners, they don’t make the advertisements. From their perspective, it is the marketers and the advertising agencies who should pay for the ASA. They certainly have a valid point but it’s also a point that has strong contra-indications of a severe bout of Pyrrhic victory.
Unfortunately, for some years now, the senior management of major media agencies has not vigorously participated in the various forums which manage this funding process. This fact, coupled to the reality that the Marketing Association of South Africa (MASA) does not yet have the all-encompassing bite of its defunct predecessor (MFSA), means that media owners will, for the moment anyway, continue to do pretty much do as they please.
So, as you reflect on the year ahead, and on the assumption that you still have a sense of the shared burden of responsibility for our local media industry, could I please urge you to visit http://www.marketingsa.co.za and read the document Pending Industry Crisis. Without direct involvement of local media decision makers at the highest level, we in Mzansi media are all, like the rhino, officially on the endangered list. The only difference being that we will have deserved to be there.
Happy New Year!






leeschmidt 9:39 am on November 30, 2011 Permalink |
Hi Gordon,
I really enjoyed your blog yesterday when it came through and I enjoyed the forum. I thought about it until well into the night.
While I do agree with you that there are more than 2 LSM 10 households in Soweto, I don’t think AMPS has failed entirely.
These surveys are a tool that we use and we should not take them as absolute truths. They are as statistically accurate as possible and the statisticians at SAARF have done a remarkable job in projecting the data to be as representative as possible.
Their task is not an easy one. Our society is incredibly complex and layered. Our markets are diverse. We know this. It would be nice to generalize, but we are likely always going to miss out on something.
My concern is, that is AMPS did receive a total overhaul, what would that mean for planners and clients? We have been using this data and the terminology for a long time and it has filtered down to clients, who now use the same media language.
Perhaps, as mentioned last night, we just need to adapt and tweak as necessary as we move along?
Then, 20 years from now, AMPS will be unrecognizable, much like Chris Hani Road and we can tell stories to the newcomers to media wistful stories of how it used to be back in the old days.
khulumamedia 12:02 pm on November 30, 2011 Permalink |
I don’t believe for one moment that I have, at any stage, suggested AMPS has failed entirely. In fact in my blog, the phrase I use is AMPS is “a world class product”. Let me repeat it. AMPS is a world class product and we should, rightly, be very proud of what has been achieved by this little country hanging on to the tip of Africa. The continuing contribution of AMPS is vital if the media industry in Mzansi is to retain its position as the lead market in Africa. Without AMPS we are going nowhere! It is this belief and this belief solely that fuels my passion in this debate.
As I watch the industry debate about AMPS unfolding, though, I don’t get the sense that we have the time to “adapt and tweak” to meet industry demands. I get strong sense that we need to be bold and create new benchmarks. If we had just been content to “tweak and adapt” in 1990 there would be no LSMS and we would still be trying to define market using race as a primary differentiator. If we had been content to tweak and adapt in 1992 we would still have a tricameral parliamentary system, rather than a democracy.
The paradigm in media planning has shifted from measuring media audiences (counting heads) to measuring media effectiveness (penetrating heads). Being content with “tweaking” AMPS so that data is reliable doesn’t really help when, increasingly, it is the validity of the data that clients are challenging. If we don’t change AMPS now then not only will AMPS be “unrecognizable” in 20 years … it will not exist!
Let’s be proactive. Let’s change AMPS now! But let’s change it for the better. Even if it hurts a little in Year1.
There is a place for tough love even in media research!
leeschmidt 12:25 pm on November 30, 2011 Permalink
Those are good points and through conversations with colleagues, some share the same view as you do. Perhaps my problem is that I am attached to AMPS as it is.
But with all this talk of AMPS needing to change now, it is still not clear how it is to be changed (funding issues aside).
khulumamedia 8:00 pm on November 30, 2011 Permalink |
Ah yes … comfort. Such a reassuring state of mind. Almost like the feelgood effect you get from eating chocolate.